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Nancy Kavazanjian
Topics: Agriculture Global, Trade (Commodities), USDA,
The Export Sales Data Snafu
On August 25, the USDA’s Foreign Agricultural Service released its weekly Export Sales Report using a new reporting system. Based on some implausible values in this report, regular users of…
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Nancy Kavazanjian
Topics: Agriculture US, Economics,
Farmland Prices Higher but Still in Line with Market Fundamentals
Farmland prices have increased by large amounts over last year’s prices. Even given these increases, farmland prices still are near levels suggested by the historical relationship between farmland prices, farmland returns, and interest rates. Significant declines in farmland prices could occur if 1) commodity prices fall from current expectations or 2) interest rates increase because…
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Nancy Kavazanjian
Topics: Agriculture US, USDA,
Public Perception of USDA Spending: Gardner Survey Results, Part 4
The US Department of Agriculture funds a wide range of programs in the food and agricultural system – from food assistance to crop insurance. Most of USDA’s programmatic budget (80%) is mandatory, required in statutory provisions reauthorized roughly every five…
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Nancy Kavazanjian
Topics: Soybeans, Agriculture US, Ag South America, Weather,
Third Consecutive La Niña? What to Expect from Soybean Yields in the United States, Brazil and Argentina
International long-term forecast models hint at the possibility of a third consecutive La Niña event this year. It is not uncommon to see La Niña occurring over two successive seasons. This happened in both 2021-2022 and 2011-2012. However, it is…
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Nancy Kavazanjian
Topics: Wheat, Agriculture Global, Economics,
International Benchmarks for Wheat Production
Examining the competitiveness of wheat production in different regions of the world is often difficult due to lack of comparable data and agreement regarding what needs to be measured. To be useful, international data needs to be expressed in common…
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Nancy Kavazanjian
Topics: Agriculture US, Economics,
Land Price-to-Rent Ratio and Interest Rates
The ratio of per acre price of farm land relative to rent paid per acre for farm land has increased over the last 50 years and in particular since 2000. This increase is conceptually and statistically associated with a decline…
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Nancy Kavazanjian
Topics: Corn/Maize, Agriculture Global, Economics,
International Benchmarks for Corn Production
Examining the competitiveness of corn production in different regions of the world is often difficult due to lack of comparable data and agreement regarding what needs to be measured. To be useful, international data needs to be expressed in common…
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